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Acron Group’s Output Up 6% in 2021

  The Group’s Consolidated Output (including operating results for Acron, Dorogobuzh and North-Western Phosphorous Company) 

Mineral Fertilisers

Product, '000 t 2021 2020
YOY, %
Ammonia 2,909
2,729
6.6
Incl. in-house consumption 2,845
2,617
Nitrogen fertilisers 5,058
4,707 7.5
Incl. in-house consumption 921
690
AN 2,241
2,430
-7.8
Incl. in-house consumption 339 213
Urea 1,463
1,180
23.9
Incl. in-house consumption 582 477
Incl. prilled urea  400
485
-17.5
Incl. in-house consumption 17
16  
Incl. granulated urea  529  261
102.7
Incl. in-house consumption 32
26
 
UAN 1,354
1,096
23.5
Complex fertilisers: 2,625 2,372
10.7
Incl. in-house consumption 61
52
NPK 2,406
2,236
7.6
Incl. in-house consumption 61
52
Bulk blends 219
136
61.0
Total commercial output for Mineral Fertilisers 6,765
6,448 4.9

Industrial Products

Product, '000 t  2021 2020 YOY, %
Organic Compounds 474
423 12.1
Incl. in-house consumption 246 213
Methanol 105
98
7.7
Incl. in-house consumption 91
78
Formalin 169 151
12.4
Incl. in-house consumption 150
131
Urea-formaldehyde resins 199  174
14.3
Incl. in-house consumption 6 4
Non-organic compounds 1,187
1,035
14.6
Low-density and technical-grade AN 469
318
47.5
Industrial urea 170
140
22.1
Calcium carbonate 483
515
-6.3
Liquid carbon dioxide 57
55
3.1
Argon 7
7 -2.3
Total commercial output for Industrial Products 1,415
1,245
-2.3

Raw Phosphate

Product, '000 t  2021 2020     YOY, %
Apatite concentrate 1,255
1,182 6.1
Incl. in-house consumption 950 900
Total commercial output for apatite concentrate 305 283 7.9
TOTAL COMMERCIAL OUTPUT

8,485
7,976
6.4
Note:

Commercial output is output less in-house consumption.


Chairman of Acron’s Board of Directors Alexander Popov commented on the results:

‘Acron Group set a new record in 2021, ramping up commercial output 6% year-on-year to 8.5 million tonnes and outstripping the target set a year ago. As a key milestone in 2021 we can name completed Urea-6+ project that brought urea output to record 1.6 million tonnes.

‘Looking forward, we want to use the upward momentum of mineral fertiliser prices in 2021 and both accelerate ongoing investment projects and kick off new ones.

‘Upgrades to ammonia units 2 and 3 and urea units 1 through 4 are underway at Acron’s Novgorod-based site. We plan to complete these projects in 2023, which will boost ammonia capacity by 375 ktpa and urea capacity by 390 ktpa. At the same time, we will construct a second urea granulation unit.

‘In 2022, we plan to complete construction of a 100-ktpa calcium nitrate unit. We are undertaking production of this new water-soluble fertiliser in response to client demand around the world.

‘The Dorogobuzh site will see technical upgrades at its ammonia unit and the completion of a new nitric acid unit, which will result in a higher ammonium nitrate output and allow us to increase supplies to the domestic market, where this nitrogen fertiliser is traditionally popular. ‘We expect the Group’s commercial output to reach 8.7 million tonnes in 2022’.

Performance Analysis

In 2021, Acron Group’s total commercial output was up 6% to 8,485,000 tonnes. This increase was mainly due to a number of investment projects implemented at the Group’s Novgorod-based site in the recent years, including construction of a urea granulation unit in mid-2020, a capacity increase at the Ammonia-4 unit in late 2020, and a comprehensive overhaul of the Urea-6 unit in 2021. These efforts boosted output of nitrogen mineral fertilisers, industrial urea, and ammonium nitrate.

The Group’s mineral fertiliser output was up 5% to 6,765,000 tonnes last year. Industrial product output increased 14% to 1,415,000 tonnes following the Group’s success at promoting industrial-grade urea and ammonium nitrate in international markets. Output of these products was up 40% to 640,000 tonnes.

In 2021, the Group’s ammonia output was up 7% to 2,909,000 tonnes, and the volume of ammonia processed through to end products increased to 98% from 96%.

As production of industrial-grade ammonium nitrate went up last year, the Group saw an 8% dip in output of agricultural-grade ammonium nitrate to 2,241,000 tonnes. Output of agricultural-grade urea, however, was up 24% to 1,463,000 tonnes. The Group launched production of granulated urea in 2020 and doubled its output in 2021 year-on-year to 529,000 tonnes. UAN output was up 24% year-on-year to 1,354,000 tonnes due to a better price environment.

The Group’s output of complex fertilisers was up 11% in 2021 to 2,625,000 tonnes, backed by both a favourable price environment and increased production of apatite concentrate at the Oleniy Ruchey mine, where output was up 6% to 1,255,000 tonnes.

Market Trends

Global urea prices soared in Q4 2021. FOB Baltic Sea prices reached an all-time record high of USD 900 per tonne after a significant jump in natural gas prices with associated shutdowns of some capacity in Europe and export restrictions in China, Egypt, and Russia. Prices were further supported by strong demand from India and Brazil and high demand for urea in the industrial sector. In January 2022, urea prices adjusted as the import season came to a close in India and Brazil. That said, prices continue to be supported by high gas prices in Europe and export restrictions in China, Russia, and Egypt.

Like urea, ammonium nitrate and UAN prices increased rapidly in Q4 2021. FOB Baltic Sea prices set new records (USD 750 and USD 630 per tonne of AN and UAN respectively) backed by higher urea prices, which serve as a benchmark for these fertilisers, and higher production costs for these products in Europe resulting from soaring gas prices. Despite these issues, Russian producers continue to meet their commitments to support the domestic market and supply fertilisers to Russian growers at prices far below the global market.

NPK prices were on the rise in Q4 2021, driven mainly by higher prices for the basic products (urea, DAP, and potassium chloride). The increase in basic product prices outstripped blends because of their higher liquidity, so NPK 16-16-16 sold at a 5% discount to the basic product basket despite its historical average premium of about 20%. The premium over the basic products is expected to return to normal in the coming months.

Average Indicative Prices, USD/t, FOB Baltic/Black Sea

 
Q4 2021 Q3 2021    Q4 2020      Q4 2021 / 
Q3 2021  
change
Q4 2021 / 
Q4 2020  
change
NPK 16-16-16 579
425
262
36.2%
121.0%
AN
646
309
166
109.1%
289.2%
UAN 612
308
119
98.7%
414.3%
Urea 807
445
234
81.3%
244.9%
Ammonia 822
571
211
44.0%
289.6%

2021
2020        2021 /
2020

NPK 16-16-16 416
256
62.5%
AN 355
167
112.6%
UAN 356
125
184.8%
Urea 480
222
116.2%
Ammonia 543
204
166.2%